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UK Climate Change Projections

UK Climate Change Projections

On 18 June 2009 Defra launched the 2009 UK Climate Projections (UKCP09). These are based on anticipated changes to climate variables such as precipitation, temperature, wind speed and sea level rise.

The UK Climate Projections indicate that we’re likely to see hotter drier summers and warmer wetter winters, coupled with increased frequency of extreme weather occurrences such as heatwaves, dry spells, heavy rain and flooding.  Some of the key findings from the Climate Change Projections estimate that by the 2050’s Northern Ireland will have:

  • An increase in winter mean temperature of approximately 1.7 °C;
  • An increase in summer mean temperature of approximately 2.2°C;
  • Changes in winter mean precipitation of approximately +9%;
  • Changes in summer mean precipitation of approximately -12%; and
  • Sea level rise for Belfast of 14.5cm above the 1990 sea level.

In order to make UKCP09 as widely accessible as possible, the information it contains is available through a new dedicated website. A major component of the new website is a UKCP09 User Interface which will allow users to interrogate the projections to produce customised output on expected climate change for the UK.

The UKCP09 website can be viewed here Opens in a new window.

In order to assist organisations, who plan to use the Projections, the UK Climate Impacts Programme will be running a UK wide ‘Projections in practice programme’. In Northern Ireland, training sessions, seminars and briefing sessions will be delivered on 3rd December 2009 to key decision makers from central and local government, the business community, the voluntary sector and professional organisations. If your organisation is interested in attending any of the training sessions they should contact the Climate Change Unit, who will endeavour to allocate them a slot at one of the seminars.

For further information or should you require the documents in an accessible format, e.g. Braille, audio-cassette, minority ethnic language etc, please contact Climate Change Unit by contacting climate.change@doeni.gov.uk Opens in a new window.

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